Economics 380

Spring 2002

 Applied Econometrics and Economic Modeling

General Information

Instructor: Robin Sickles

Office: Baker Building 246

Phone: 717 348-3322

email: rsickles@rice.edu

Office Hours: MW 3-4 or by appointment

Required Textbook

Managerial Statistics, S. Albright, W. Winston, C. Zappe, Duxberry Press, 2000.

Using Econometrics, A Practical Guide, A. Studenmond, 4th Edition, 2001

Recommended Textbooks

Introductory Econometrics with Applications, 4th edition, R. Ramanathan, Dryden Press, 1998.

Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategy, and Tactics, 8th edition, J. McGuigan, R. Moyer, and F. Harris, South-Western College Publishing, 1999..

Course Objectives

Understanding of basic econometric principals and their use in estimating economic relationships such as demand and supply, in forecasting economic phenomenon such as stock prices, GNP, etc., and in general modeling applications.  We also will study efficiency measurement in production using linear programming methods (activity analysis), portfolio decision-making (financial engineering) and empirical approaches to analyzing litigation strategies in discrimination and antitrust cases.  Emphasis will be on applications using such programs as and ECSTAT (Studenmond), EXCEL (Abright et al.) SAS, ESLWIN (Ramanathan).  Two class days a week (Monday and Wednesday) will be devoted to lectures on new material while the third class (Friday) will be a computer laboratory in which students will apply concepts learned during the week.  Monday and Wednesday classes will be in Baker Hall while the Friday computer labs will be in the Mudd Building Computer Lab 104.

Grading Policy

The final grade will be based on a midterm exam (25%), application exercises primarily conducted in the Friday computer laboratory (15%), pop quizes (10%), an empirical project whose topic will be decided by the student in consultation with the instructor (25%), and final exam (25%)

Course Outline

January 14 Introduction (S 1; R 1; AWZ 1)

January 16 Review of Probability and Statistics (S 5; R 2; AWZ 2-10)

January 21 Martin Luther King Holiday

January 23 Review of Probability and Statistics (S 5; R 2; AWZ 2-10)

January 28 Review of Probability and Statistics (S 5; R 2; AWZ 2-10)

February 4 Simple Regression (S 2; R 3; AWZ 13; GWH 5)

February 6 Multiple Regression (S 3; R 4; AWZ 13; GWH 5)

February 11 Multiple Regression (S 4; R 4; AWZ 13; GWH 5)

February 13 Multicollinearity (S 8; R 5; AWZ 14; GWH 5)

February 18 Functional Form and Model Selection (S 7; R 6; GWH 5)

February 20 Problems of Misspecification (S 6;  R 8, 9; GWH 5)

February 22 Computer Lab

February 25 Distributed Lag Models (S 12; R 10)

February 27 Mid-term exam

March 1 Computer Lab

March 4-March 8 Mid-term recess

March 11 Simultaneous Equations (S 14; R 13; GWH 6)

March 13 Carrying out an Empirical Project (R 14; AWZ 17)
 
March 18 Carrying out an Empirical Project (R 14; AWZ 17)

March 20 Time Series and Forecasting (S 12, S 15; R 11; AWZ 16; GWH 6)

March 22 Time Series and Forecasting (S 12, S 15; R 11; AWZ 16; GWH 6)

March 25 Time Series and Forecasting (S 12, S 15; R 11; AWZ 16; GWH 6)

March 27 Time Series and Forecasting (S 12, S 15; R 11; AWZ 16; GWH 6)

March 29 Spring recess

April 1 Activity Analysis (GWH; Handouts: DEAP manuals, DEAP program )

April 3 Activity Analysis (GWH; Handouts)

April 5 Activity Analysis (GWH; Handouts)

April 8 Activity Analysis (GWH; Handouts)

April 10 Activity Analysis (Handouts)

April 12 Activity Analysis (Handouts)

April 15 Financial Engineering (GWH 17 A, 19, 20; DEAP program, DEAP manuals)

April 17 Litigation Support-Antitrust and Litigation Support-Discrimination.

April 19 Litigation Support-Antitrust and Litigation Support-Discrimination.

April 22 Litigation Support-Antitrust and Litigation Support-Discrimination.

April 24 Empirical Analysis in Litigation Support (GWH 18)

April 26 Empirical Analysis in Litigation Support and LAST DAY OF CLASSES (GWH 18)

 

Lecture Notes

Lecture1

Lecture2

Lecture3

Lecture3a

Lecture 3b

Lecture4

Lecture5

Lecture6

Lecture7

Lecture8

Lecture9

Lecture10

Activity Analysis

 

Computer Lab Solutions

Lab #1 (January 26)

Lab #2 (February 2)

Lab #3a(February 9) 
Lab #3b

Lab #4 (February 16)

Lab #5a (February 23)
Lab #5b
Lab#5c

Lab#6 (March 2)

Lab#7 (March 16)
(see R pages: 636-639)

Lab#8 (March 23)

Lab#9 (March 30)

Lab#10(April 6)

Lab#11(April 20)

 

 

Quiz and Exam Solutions

Quiz #1

Quiz #2

Midterm1

Quiz#3

Quiz#4

Quiz#5

Quiz#6

Other Links

 

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